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  1. furman5_Getty Images Yuichiro Chino_forecasting Getty Images Yuichiro Chino

    Why Did Almost Nobody See Inflation Coming?

    Jason Furman

    Forecasting inflation is a staple of macroeconomic modeling, yet virtually all economists’ predictions for the United States in 2021 were way off the mark. This dismal performance reflected a collective failure to take economic models seriously enough, as well as other analytical shortcomings.

    ascribes near-universal forecasting errors in 2021 to not taking economic models seriously enough.
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  2. kschwab25_Marcos del MazoLightRocket via Getty Images_climateprotest Marcos del Mazo/LightRocket via Getty Images

    Envisioning Governance 4.0

    Klaus Schwab

    When the COVID-19 pandemic ends, the world will need a new governance model that differs from its predecessors in several fundamental respects. In particular, while finance, economics, and business remain vitally important, they must serve society and nature – not the other way around.

    argues that tackling today’s global challenges will require a transformation of institutions and leadership.
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    Our newest magazine, The Year Ahead 2022: Reckonings, is here. To receive your print copy, delivered wherever you are in the world, subscribe to PS for less than $9 a month

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  1. An Interview with Daniel Gros
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    An Interview with Daniel Gros

    Jan 18, 2022 Daniel Gros warns that transatlantic monetary-policy divergence could lead to trade tensions, attributes Russia’s recent aggression largely to higher gas prices, and doubts that China’s regulatory crackdown will impede its economic progress.

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What's Left of Cambridge Economics?

James K. Galbraith

In offering a blueprint for bringing mainstream economics into the twenty-first century, a University of Cambridge economist has unwittingly demonstrated much of what is wrong with the discipline. Ironically, the rediscovery of an earlier generation of Cambridge economists would set things right.

thinks a new attempt to refurbish the discipline suffers from a fatal blind spot.
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Why Kazakhstan Matters

Featured in this Big Picture
  1. Djoomart Otorbaev Djoomart Otorbaev ,
  2. Nargis Kassenova Nargis Kassenova ,
  3. Sławomir Sierakowski Sławomir Sierakowski ,
  4. Nina L. Khrushcheva Nina L. Khrushcheva

Following several days of violent nationwide protests, the Kazakh authorities, with the help of Russian-led forces, appear to have restored order. For the United States and China, the episode has highlighted the strategic importance of this resource-rich Central Asian country, as well as the scope of Russian President Vladimir Putin’s imperial ambitions.

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America, One Year On

Featured in this Big Picture
  1. Michael Lind,
  2. J. Bradford DeLong,
  3. Elizabeth Drew,
  4. Jan-Werner Mueller,
  5. Cynthia Miller-Idriss,
  6. Elmira Bayrasli,
  7. James K. Galbraith,
  8. Harold James

Twelve months after an insurrectionist right-wing mob incited by then-President Donald Trump stormed and occupied the US Capitol, many Americans fear that deepening polarization could result in a sequel, or worse. In the absence of agreement on basic facts and rules of political engagement, can further violence and threats to democracy be prevented?

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Happy New Year?

Featured in this Big Picture
  1. Bill Emmott,
  2. Ngaire Woods,
  3. Jim O'Neill,
  4. Nouriel Roubini,
  5. Elif Shafak

The world will enter 2022 still grappling with the COVID-19 pandemic, climate change, geopolitical tensions, and economic uncertainty. Developing effective policy responses to these challenges is essential to passing the biggest global test of all: rekindling a sense of public trust and optimism.

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