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Mohamed A. El-Erian

Mohamed A. El-Erian

Writing for PS since 2010
166 commentaries

Mohamed A. El-Erian, President of Queens’ College at the University of Cambridge, is a professor at the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania and the author of The Only Game in Town: Central Banks, Instability, and Avoiding the Next Collapse (Random House, 2016) and a co-author (with Gordon Brown, Michael Spence, and Reid Lidow) of Permacrisis: A Plan to Fix a Fractured World (Simon & Schuster, 2023).

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  1. Navigating Major Transitions in an Uncertain Economy
    elerian167_Michael M. SantiagoGetty Images_nyse Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images

    Navigating Major Transitions in an Uncertain Economy

    Apr 26, 2024 Mohamed A. El-Erian explains how to recalibrate expectations in the face of yet another forecasting failure.

  2. The Indian Giant Has Arrived
    op_elerian1_ Debarchan ChatterjeeNurPhoto via Getty Images_indiapopulation Debarchan Chatterjee/NurPhoto via Getty Images

    The Indian Giant Has Arrived

    Mar 22, 2024 Mohamed A. El-Erian & Michael Spence consider the risks and challenges associated with the country's rapidly expanding global footprint.

  3. Will the US Economy Drive Global Growth this Year?
    elerian164_ANGELA WEISSAFP via Getty Images_nyse Angela Weiss/AFP via Getty Images

    Will the US Economy Drive Global Growth this Year?

    Feb 26, 2024 Mohamed A. El-Erian explains why economists and investors are far too optimistic about America’s near-term prospects.

  4. Don’t Extrapolate Last Year’s Trends for the Global Economy
    elerian163_Michael M. SantiagoGetty Images_global economy Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images

    Don’t Extrapolate Last Year’s Trends for the Global Economy

    Jan 11, 2024 Mohamed A. El-Erian sees several reasons why markets’ current optimistic mood will sour by the end of the year.

  5. The Growing Risk of Global Disorder
    elerian162_ BRENDAN SMIALOWSKIAFP via Getty Images_biden BRENDAN SMIALOWSKI/AFP via Getty Images

    The Growing Risk of Global Disorder

    Dec 14, 2023 Mohamed A. El-Erian highlights two recent developments that have undermined the legitimacy of American leadership.

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  1. milani5_Fatemeh BahramiAnadolu via Getty Images_iran raisi Fatemeh Bahrami/Anadolu via Getty Images

    Iran’s Succession Crisis Is a Legitimacy Crisis

    Abbas Milani explains why few Iranians within or outside the country truly mourn the death of President Ebrahim Raisi.
  2. rogoff249_Alex WongGetty Images_powellbiden Alex Wong/Getty Images

    Central Banks’ New-Old Inflationary Bias

    Kenneth Rogoff explains why policymakers are more likely to risk higher prices during periods of economic uncertainty.
  3. slaughter103_ BSIPUniversal Images Group via Getty Images_ai elderly BSIP/Universal Images Group via Getty Images

    Can AI Improve Family Life?

    Anne-Marie Slaughter & Avni Patel Thompson foresee parents and other caregivers spending more time on meaningful activities, and less time on drudgery.
  4. r2hoffman1_Aleksandr DurnovGetty Images_aihuman Aleksandr Durnov/Getty Images

    Maxims for the AI Age

    Reid Hoffman

    Far too often, debates about technology, innovation, and progress fall into crude dichotomies – humans versus machines, utopia versus dystopia – that distract from the matter at hand. Rather than fixating on extremes, we should adopt a more nuanced and historically informed view of our tools, and of ourselves.

    offers six principles to guide our thinking about the technology's potential risks and rewards.
  5. frankel160_ NIKOLAY DOYCHINOVAFP via Getty Images_EUpollution Nikolay Doychinov/AFP via Getty Images

    Europe’s Carbon Border Tax Advances the Fight Against Climate Change

    Jeffrey Frankel shows how the European Union’s carbon-price mechanism could encourage other countries to follow suit.
  6. moghalu4_Peter TitmusUCGUniversal Images Group via Getty Images_southafricashipping Peter Titmus/UCG/Universal Images Group via Getty Images

    Africa Can’t Prosper Without Regional Trade

    Kingsley Moghalu argues that the continent has been missing a key ingredient of robust, sustained growth.
  7. krueger75_Kent NishimuraGetty Images_israelprotest Kent Nishimura/Getty Images

    Divestment from Israel Will Not Bring Peace

    Anne O. Krueger argues that meeting protesters' demand would weaken US universities – one of America’s sources of strength.
  8. bp - trade war Photo by Costfoto/NurPhoto via Getty Images

    The US-China Trade War Heats Up

    A spate of new US tariffs on Chinese goods has raised the specter of full economic decoupling between the world’s two largest economies. For many observers, the measures are not only misguided, but also counter-productive, with the potential to undermine economic dynamism, hamper climate action, and trigger geopolitical conflict.

  9. op_rajan4_MANJUNATH KIRANAFP via Getty Images_Indiastartup Manjunath Kiran/AFP via Getty Images

    The Indian Election and the Country’s Economic Future

    Raghuram G. Rajan

    Economically, India today feels like a place of limitless possibilities. But with only a narrow window in which to grow rich before it grows old, the policy decisions it makes today will have an outsize influence on its future prospects.

    worries that the country will squander its massive potential by trying to emulate China's growth strategy.

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