Carl Court/Getty Images

La lógica política del Brexit duro

PARÍS – Pasados poco más de tres meses de la decisión del Reino Unido de abandonar la Unión Europea, el rumbo político del Brexit se está descarrilando. Se ha afianzado una dinámica casi revolucionaria (y muy poco británica) y, como indicara la Primera Ministra Theresa May en su discurso de tipo “Little Englander” (o “Pequeño inglés”) en la conferencia del Partido Conservador el mes pasado, el Reino Unido se encamina a un “Brexit duro”.

Se trata de un resultado que va en contra de lo que piensa la opinión pública del país, que sigue siendo moderada con respecto a romper de lleno con la UE. Según una encuesta de julio de BB/ComRes, un 66% de los encuestados manifestaban que “mantener el acceso al mercado único” era más importante que restringir la libre circulación de las personas. En una encuesta de ICM del mismo mes, sólo un 10% señaló que priorizaría poner fin a la libre circulación por sobre mantener acceso al mercado único, mientras que un 30% veían ambos temas como igual de importantes y un 38% consideraba que la prioridad era mantener el acceso pleno al libre mercado.

Son resultados que sólo sorprenden a quienes se creen la narrativa de que Occidente se enfrenta a una revuelta xenofóbica a gran escala contra las élites. Si bien no hay duda de que en el campo de los partidarios de abandonar la UE (los “Brexiteers”) había gente para la cual lo más importante era poner fin a la libre circulación de las personas, también había quienes creyeron a Boris Johnson, el ex alcalde de Londres y actual ministro de exteriores, cuando prometió (como sigue haciéndolo) que el Reino Unido podía quedarse con el pastel y comérselo.

To continue reading, please log in or enter your email address.

Registration is quick and easy and requires only your email address. If you already have an account with us, please log in. Or subscribe now for unlimited access.


Log in;
  1. Sean Gallup/Getty Images

    Angela Merkel’s Endgame?

    The collapse of coalition negotiations has left German Chancellor Angela Merkel facing a stark choice between forming a minority government or calling for a new election. But would a minority government necessarily be as bad as Germans have traditionally thought?

  2. Trump Trade speech Bill Pugliano/Getty Images .

    Preparing for the Trump Trade Wars

    In the first 11 months of his presidency, Donald Trump has failed to back up his words – or tweets – with action on a variety of fronts. But the rest of the world's governments, and particularly those in Asia and Europe, would be mistaken to assume that he won't follow through on his promised "America First" trade agenda.

  3. A GrabBike rider uses his mobile phone Bay Ismoyo/Getty Images

    The Platform Economy

    While developed countries in Europe, North America, and Asia are rapidly aging, emerging economies are predominantly youthful. Nigerian, Indonesian, and Vietnamese young people will shape global work trends at an increasingly rapid pace, bringing to bear their experience in dynamic informal markets on a tech-enabled gig economy.

  4. Trump Mario Tama/Getty Images

    Profiles in Discouragement

    One day, the United States will turn the page on Donald Trump. But, as Americans prepare to observe their Thanksgiving holiday, they should reflect that their country's culture and global standing will never recover fully from the wounds that his presidency is inflicting on them.

  5. Mugabe kisses Grace JEKESAI NJIKIZANA/AFP/Getty Images

    How Women Shape Coups

    In Zimbabwe, as in all coups, much behind-the-scenes plotting continues to take place in the aftermath of the military's overthrow of President Robert Mugabe. But who the eventual winners and losers are may depend, among other things, on the gender of the plotters.

  6. Oil barrels Ahmad Al-Rubaye/Getty Images

    The Abnormality of Oil

    At the 2017 Abu Dhabi Petroleum Exhibition and Conference, the consensus among industry executives was that oil prices will still be around $60 per barrel in November 2018. But there is evidence to suggest that the uptick in global growth and developments in Saudi Arabia will push the price as high as $80 in the meantime.

  7. Israeli soldier Menahem Kahana/Getty Images

    The Saudi Prince’s Dangerous War Games

    Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman is working hard to consolidate power and establish his country as the Middle East’s only hegemon. But his efforts – which include an attempt to trigger a war between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon – increasingly look like the work of an immature gambler.