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elerian117_ALBERTO PIZZOLIAFPGetty Images_draghi lagarde Alberto Pizzoli/AFP/Getty Images

拉加德的优势是欧洲的机会

伦敦—名医是治愈每况愈下的老病号的保证。这位老病号的治疗效果日减,副作用日增。有更好的方法,但新医生的医院没有。而在有这种疗法的医院,医生又不太关注这个病号。

新医生便是克里斯汀·拉加德(Christine Lagarde),广受尊敬的国际货币基金组织(IMF)前总裁,她即将接替马里奥·德拉吉(Mario Draghi)出任欧洲中央银行行长。她的挑战是要避免欧元区落入第二个增长低迷、有欠包容的十年。病号在她的主诊下结果如何——以及她能否让重要的欧元区政府提供必要的治疗——不但将决定她留下什么,也决定了德拉吉将留下什么遗产。

如今,欧洲经济正在丧失动力这一点已经毋庸置疑。早先过于乐观的增长持续改善诊断最终败给了惨淡的现实,结构和周期的双重阻力破坏了经济活动。早先的共识——2019年增长率约为2%——现在变成了1%;而最终而可能比1%还要低。

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  1. solana114_FADEL SENNAAFP via Getty Images_libyaprotestflag Fadel Senna/AFP via Getty Images

    Relieving Libya’s Agony

    Javier Solana

    The credibility of all external actors in the Libyan conflict is now at stake. The main domestic players will lower their maximalist pretensions only when their foreign supporters do the same, ending hypocrisy once and for all and making a sincere effort to find room for consensus.

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