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Kenneth Rogoff

Kenneth Rogoff

Writing for PS since 2002
249 commentaries
1 videos & podcasts

Kenneth Rogoff, Professor of Economics and Public Policy at Harvard University and recipient of the 2011 Deutsche Bank Prize in Financial Economics, was the chief economist of the International Monetary Fund from 2001 to 2003. He is co-author of This Time is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly (Princeton University Press, 2011) and author of The Curse of Cash (Princeton University Press, 2016).

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  1. The End of Magical Debt Thinking
    rogoff248_ Jemal CountessGetty Images for the Peter G. Peterson Foundation_debt Jemal Countess/Getty Images for the Peter G. Peterson Foundation

    The End of Magical Debt Thinking

    Apr 29, 2024 Kenneth Rogoff welcomes economists’ recent reassessment of the costs and benefits of public borrowing.

  2. Can Europe’s Economy Exceed Expectations in 2024?
    rogoff247_Eduardo ParraEuropa Press via Getty Images_spanish stock Eduardo Parra/Europa Press via Getty Images

    Can Europe’s Economy Exceed Expectations in 2024?

    Apr 5, 2024 Kenneth Rogoff sees several reasons to be more optimistic than current forecasts suggest.

  3. What’s Behind the US Stock-Market Disconnect?
    rogoff246_Michael M. SantiagoGetty Images_nyse Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images

    What’s Behind the US Stock-Market Disconnect?

    Mar 4, 2024 Kenneth Rogoff warns that investors are underestimating the severity of the threat to American democracy.

  4. Don’t Count on a Soft Landing for the Global Economy
    rogoff245_ Spencer PlattGetty Images_us economy Spencer Platt/Getty Images

    Don’t Count on a Soft Landing for the Global Economy

    Feb 2, 2024 Kenneth Rogoff explains why the celebratory mood of CEOs and political leaders is premature – and probably misplaced.

  5. The Global Economy Is Not Out of the Woods
    rogoff244_Carl CourtGetty Images_global economy Carl Court/Getty Images

    The Global Economy Is Not Out of the Woods

    Jan 3, 2024 Kenneth Rogoff warns that monetary tightening and fiscal deficits could undermine the post-pandemic recovery.

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  1. bildt123_Shi KuanbingVCG via Getty Images_chinaEV Shi Kuanbing/VCG via Getty Images

    The Dangerous Retreat into Protectionism

    Carl Bildt warns that nothing good will come from a more deeply fragmented global economy.
  2. sonin5_Jakub PorzyckiNurPhoto via Getty Images_ukrainenato Jakub Porzycki/NurPhoto via Getty Images

    The Case for Ukraine’s NATO Accession

    Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Ilona Sologoub explain why giving in to the Kremlin’s nuclear blackmail could push the alliance into a death spiral.
  3. strain14_artificial intelligence drug development_ai Getty Images

    Don’t Believe the AI Hype

    Daron Acemoglu

    If you listen to tech industry leaders, business-sector forecasters, and much of the media, you may believe that recent advances in generative AI will soon bring extraordinary productivity benefits, revolutionizing life as we know it. Yet neither economic theory nor the data support such exuberant forecasts.

    finds nothing to support widely cited assessments of the technology’s near-term potential.
  4. yu77_CFOTOFuture Publishing via Getty Images_china consumption CFOTO/Future Publishing via Getty Images

    What the China Pessimists Are Getting Wrong

    Yu Yongding rejects gloomy narratives about the economy’s prospects and proposes ways to revive growth.
  5. adda1_ Nicholas KajobaXinhua via Getty Images_hbv Nicholas Kajoba/Xinhua via Getty Images

    A Big Step Forward for Liver Health

    Danjuma Adda explains how new hepatitis guidelines from the World Health Organization could reduce cancer deaths in Africa.
  6. khrushcheva181_ SERGEI BOBYLYOVPOOLAFP via Getty Images)_xi putin SERGEI BOBYLYOV/POOL/AFP via Getty Images

    The Fragile Fraternity of China and Russia

    Nina L. Khrushcheva

    Vladimir Putin’s recent state visit to Beijing – his first trip abroad since being inaugurated for a fifth term – was practically a mirror image of Mao Zedong’s visit to Moscow 75 years ago, when Stalin looked down on his guest. There is little reason to think that the bilateral relationship will prove more resilient this time.

    doubts that two countries with such diverging interests will be able to build a lasting partnership.
  7. subacchi41_ViaframeGetty Images_worldcrackingglobebreaking Viaframe/Getty Images

    The Global Economy Is More Vulnerable Than It Seems

    Bertrand Badré & Yves Tiberghien identify five factors driving a potentially catastrophic trend toward fragmentation.
  8. skidelsky201_Leon NealGetty Images_BOE Leon Neal/Getty Images

    The Myth of Central-Bank Independence

    Robert Skidelsky thinks the time has come to transfer power from technocrats back to elected officials.
  9. vaheesan2_Michael M. SantiagoGetty Images_gigworkersprotest Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images

    The Gig Economy vs. America’s Workers

    Sandeep Vaheesan warns that proposed ballot initiatives in Massachusetts would legalize exploitative employment practices.

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