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坎布里奇—对一个“管理的民主国家”(managed democracy)来说,伊朗的总统选举以难以预测闻名。即将在5月19日举行的此次选举也不例外,因为现任总统鲁哈尼面临两位强硬保守派挑战者。

鲁哈尼的对手是伊布拉西姆·莱西(Ebrahim Raisi),他是一位高级别神职人员、被认为有可能继哈梅内伊之后成为下一任伊朗最高领袖的伊布拉西姆·莱西(Ebrahim Raisi)。此前还有一位强硬派候选人——德黑兰市长穆罕默德·巴格尔·卡利巴夫(Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf),他在2013年的选举中获得票数是鲁哈尼的三分之一。卡利巴夫的退选对莱西阵营来说是一个提振。


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