Street of Hong Kong Starcevic/Getty Images


东京—在反乌托邦科幻片《银翼杀手2049》(Blade Runner 2049)中,32年后的洛杉矶看上去就像是今天的中国大都市:灰蒙蒙污染严重,到处都是霓虹灯广告闪烁的高楼大厦。观众从来不甚了解外部世界,甚至不知道广告中的商品用哪种货币交易。美元仍然拥有主宰地位吗?中国人民币取而代之了吗?还是有其他货币崛起为全球主导?


但从国际金融外交的角度,美元的地位可能不那么牢靠了。问题在于,经济学家巴里·艾肯格林(Barry Eichengreen)预测的 “美元外交”的结束是否必然意味着人民币外交的崛起。

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