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Robert J. Shiller

Robert J. Shiller

131 commentaries
1 videos & podcasts

Robert J. Shiller, a 2013 Nobel laureate in economics, is Professor of Economics at Yale University and Co-creator of the Case-Shiller Index of US house prices. He is the author of Irrational ExuberancePhishing for Phools: The Economics of Manipulation and Deception (with George Akerlof), and Narrative Economics: How Stories Go Viral and Drive Major Economic Events.

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  1. The AI Age Requires Inequality Insurance
    iayres1_arhui1979Getty Images_wealthinequality arhui1979/Getty Images

    The AI Age Requires Inequality Insurance

    Dec 27, 2023 Ian Ayres, et al. propose automatically increasing tax rates for the top 1% to mitigate the impact of automation on workers.

  2. Should You Buy a Home in the US?
    shiller130_Jeffrey GreenbergUniversal Images Group via Getty Images_house market Jeffrey GreenbergUniversal Images Group via Getty Images

    Should You Buy a Home in the US?

    Oct 25, 2021 Robert J. Shiller emphasizes the importance of long-term thinking in today’s elevated housing market.

  3. Making Sense of Sky-High Stock Prices
    shiller129_bluebay2014_getty Images_economics arrow bluebay2014_Getty Images

    Making Sense of Sky-High Stock Prices

    Nov 30, 2020 Robert J. Shiller, et al. explain why soaring equity valuations in five world regions may not be as absurd as many people think.

  4. Understanding the Pandemic Stock Market
    shiller128_Drew AngererGetty Images_NYSEUSstockmarket Drew Angerer/Getty Images

    Understanding the Pandemic Stock Market

    Jul 7, 2020 Robert J. Shiller explains why US equity prices remain afloat when cratering demand is dragging down investment and employment.

  5. The Two Pandemics
    shiller127_Artit AungpraphapornchaiGetty Images_coronavirusgraphrecession Artit Aungpraphapornchai/Getty Images

    The Two Pandemics

    Mar 31, 2020 Robert J. Shiller shows how the financial contagion triggered by the COVID-19 crisis has taken on a life of its own.

  1. prasad24_Michael M. SantiagoGetty Images_nyse Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images

    A Weak, Uneven Global Recovery

    Eswar Prasad & Caroline Smiltneks explain why domestic political divisions and inflationary pressures jeopardize current market optimism.
  2. singer230_View PicturesPeter CookUniversal Images Group via Getty Images_cambridge View Pictures/Peter Cook/Universal Images Group via Getty Images

    Will Cambridge Support Free Speech?

    Peter Singer examines the university’s ongoing case against Nathan Cofnas, a research fellow who advocates “race realism.”
  3. bp china economy1 CFOTO/Future Publishing via Getty Images

    Can China Get Out of Its Rut?

    China’s authorities have powerful economic-policy levers at their disposal to achieve their 5% growth target this year and put the economy on a more sustainable long-term growth path. But several trends – from the shift toward state capitalism to population aging to the loss of goodwill between Chinese and Americans – could thwart China’s ambition to join the ranks of high-income countries by mid-century.

  4. roach164_PEDRO PARDOPEDRO PARDOPOOLAFP via Getty Images_china development forum PEDRO PARDO/POOL/AFP via Getty Images

    China Stifles Its Own Debate

    Stephen S. Roach

    For more than two decades, the China Development Forum was a meeting where foreign business, political, and academic leaders could debate the state of the Chinese economy with the country’s highest leaders. But this year’s gathering eschewed open and honest dialogue, in favor of telling only “good stories” about China.

    bemoans the transformation of the country’s most important platform for open dialogue into a schmooze-fest.
  5. pdoyle1_ISSOUF SANOGOAFP via Getty Images_cfa franc ISSOUF SANOGO/AFP via Getty Images

    Leaving Africa’s Colonial-Era Currency Will Be Hard, But May Be Wise

    Peter Doyle considers how exiting the CFA franc zone could benefit Burkina Faso, Mali, and Niger, despite the challenges.
  6. benami212_Elyxandro CegarraNurPhoto via Getty Images_eumilitary Elyxandro Cegarra/NurPhoto via Getty Images

    Europe’s War Jitters

    Shlomo Ben-Ami urges EU member states to prepare for the possibility of the US abandoning its NATO commitments.
  7. mazzucato62 Getty Images

    Governments Must Shape AI’s Future

    Mariana Mazzucato & Fausto Gernone

    As with social media, the incentives around AI are aligned for rent extraction, where large companies, acting as intermediaries, amass profits at others’ expense. Governments urgently need to step in to ensure that the technology is being designed and brought to market in ways that will serve the common good.

    urge policymakers to see themselves as proactive participants in technological innovation and market-making.
  8. duquemarquez2_ArterraMarica van der MeerUniversal Images Group via Getty Images_guyana Arterra/Marica van der Meer/Universal Images Group via Getty Images

    How Guyana Became Latin America’s Leading Development Lab

    Iván Duque Márquez highlights the current government’s unique approach to managing its renewable and non-renewable resources.
  9. sierakowski107_Beata ZawrzelNurPhoto via Getty Images_poland Beata Zawrzel/NurPhoto via Getty Images

    Beating Back Populists at the Grassroots

    Sławomir Sierakowski interprets the seemingly mixed results of recent municipal and provincial elections in Poland.

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