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Robert J. Shiller

Robert J. Shiller

Writing for PS since 2003
130 commentaries
1 videos & podcasts

Robert J. Shiller, a 2013 Nobel laureate in economics, is Professor of Economics at Yale University and the co-creator of the Case-Shiller Index of US house prices. He is the author of Irrational Exuberance, Phishing for Phools: The Economics of Manipulation and Deception (with George Akerlof), and Narrative Economics: How Stories Go Viral and Drive Major Economic Events.

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  1. Should You Buy a Home in the US?
    shiller130_Jeffrey GreenbergUniversal Images Group via Getty Images_house market Jeffrey GreenbergUniversal Images Group via Getty Images

    Should You Buy a Home in the US?

    Oct 25, 2021 Robert J. Shiller emphasizes the importance of long-term thinking in today’s elevated housing market.

  2. Making Sense of Sky-High Stock Prices
    shiller129_bluebay2014_getty Images_economics arrow bluebay2014_Getty Images

    Making Sense of Sky-High Stock Prices

    Nov 30, 2020 Robert J. Shiller, et al. explain why soaring equity valuations in five world regions may not be as absurd as many people think.

  3. Understanding the Pandemic Stock Market
    shiller128_Drew AngererGetty Images_NYSEUSstockmarket Drew Angerer/Getty Images

    Understanding the Pandemic Stock Market

    Jul 7, 2020 Robert J. Shiller explains why US equity prices remain afloat when cratering demand is dragging down investment and employment.

  4. The Two Pandemics
    shiller127_Artit AungpraphapornchaiGetty Images_coronavirusgraphrecession Artit Aungpraphapornchai/Getty Images

    The Two Pandemics

    Mar 31, 2020 Robert J. Shiller shows how the financial contagion triggered by the COVID-19 crisis has taken on a life of its own.

  5. The Trump Narrative and the Next Recession
    shiller126_ANDREW HARNIKAFPGetty Images_trump g7 summit Andrew Harnik/AFP/Getty Images

    The Trump Narrative and the Next Recession

    Aug 30, 2019 Robert J. Shiller thinks an economic downturn could upend a public story that has persisted and grown for nearly 50 years.

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  1. mcnamee3_ AMY OSBORNEAFP via Getty Images_twitter AMY OSBORNE/AFP via Getty Images
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    Disrupting the Disruptors

    Roger McNamee considers what new economic conditions mean for an industry whose growth (and misbehavior) defined an era.
  2. basu86_ Stu ForsterGetty Images_world cup Stu Forster/Getty Images
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    When Voters Become Fans

    Kaushik Basu thinks deepening polarization has given the lie to a longstanding assumption about electoral politics.
  3. desalegn1_ KHALED DESOUKIAFP via Getty Images_biodiversity KHALED DESOUKI/AFP via Getty Images
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    Africa’s Responsibility to Protect Biodiversity

    Hailemariam Desalegn urges the continent’s leaders to unite behind a shared conservation agenda, beginning at COP15.
  4. sierakowski91_Omar MarquesGetty Images_ukrainian refugees Omar Marques/Getty Images
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    Resentment on the Western Front

    Sławomir Sierakowski thinks the Polish public needs a more open and honest conversation about refugees before resentment spirals.
  5. vives17_ Leon NealGetty Images_ftx Leon Neal/Getty Images
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    Crypto’s Well-Worn Path to Crisis

    Xavier Vives writes that, despite the novelty of the assets, the narrative of FTX’s collapse was established long ago.
  6. roubini171_Spencer PlattGetty Images_recession looming Spencer Platt/Getty Images
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    The Unavoidable Crash

    Nouriel Roubini anticipates a stagflationary debt crisis, owing to a dangerous combination of inflation and over-borrowing.
  7. nye236_SAUL LOEBAFP via Getty Images_biden xi SAUL LOEB/AFP via Getty Images
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    War Over Taiwan?

    Joseph S. Nye, Jr. considers whether a deterrence arrangement that has worked for 50 years is still sufficient.
  8. op_livingston1_Anna MoneymakerGetty Images_fed Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images
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    The Contested Fed

    James Livingston

    By all accounts, central banks – particularly the Fed, because the dollar is still the world’s dominant currency – already act as investment authorities. But their recent bailouts have exacerbated economic inequality, and have done little or nothing to address climate change.

     reviews three books that, each in its own way, reveal a central truth about the world’s leading central bank.
  9. pisaniferry140_Sean GallupGetty Images_cop27 Sean GallupGetty Images
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    The Economics of Mainstreaming Climate Action

    Jean Pisani-Ferry & Selma Mahfouz identify the risks and short-term costs associated with the energy transition over the next decade.

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