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Robert J. Barro

Robert J. Barro

13 commentaries

Robert J. Barro, Professor of Economics at Harvard University, is a non-resident senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute and a research associate at the National Bureau of Economic Research.

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  1. Understanding Recent US Inflation
    barro12_STEFANI REYNOLDSAFP via Getty Images_inflation STEFANI REYNOLDS/AFP via Getty Images

    Understanding Recent US Inflation

    Aug 30, 2022 Robert J. Barro sees the fiscal-policy response to the COVID recession as the main factor fueling faster price growth.

  2. Yes, the US Economy Is Likely in Recession
    barro11_Michael NagleXinhua via Getty Images_USstockmarketrecession Michael Nagle/Xinhua via Getty Images

    Yes, the US Economy Is Likely in Recession

    Aug 1, 2022 Robert J. Barro shows that two consecutive quarters of negative US growth have almost always preceded an official downturn designation.

  3. Big State Inflation
    barro10 Getty Images

    Big State Inflation

    Dec 4, 2021 Robert J. Barro worries that US monetary and fiscal policy is running off the rails and theatening future growth.

  4. An Interview with Robert J. Barro
    David Ricardo Economics for many decades has been dominated by journal articles, rather than books. But there are a few classics that are undoubtedly worth reading. Beyond the aforementioned Smith and Weber, this 1817 book by Ricardo is effectively the first work on macroeconomics, and thus essential reading.

    An Interview with Robert J. Barro

    Apr 20, 2021 Robert J. Barro warns that the anchor of long-term inflation expectations is being pulled up, advises the US on how to deal with China, and critiques Joe Biden’s proposed infrastructure package.

  5. Pulling Up the Inflation Anchor
    barro8_Win McNameeGetty Images_volcker Win McNamee/Getty Images

    Pulling Up the Inflation Anchor

    Feb 25, 2021 Robert J. Barro worries that reckless policies could undo decades of hard-won gains by monetary policymakers.

  1. buruma200_Omer MessingerGetty Images_turkish voting erdogan Omer Messinger/Getty Images

    Nationalists Abroad

    Ian Buruma

    While facing an uphill political battle at home, Turkey’s recently re-elected President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan handily won the diaspora vote. He did so by capitalizing on the resentment and alienation felt by second- and third-generation Turkish immigrants who often feel estranged in the countries where they were born.

    explains how displacement can make expatriates and minorities more susceptible to extremist ideologies.
  2. maude1_ROSLAN RAHMANAFP via Getty Images_chinadefenseminister Roslan Rahman/AFP via Getty Images

    All Talk, No Dialogue on Asian Security

    Richard Maude

    Calls at this year’s Shangri-La Dialogue in Singapore to improve military-to-military communication between the US and China, especially in light of increasingly aggressive encounters at sea and in the air, fell on deaf ears. Despite the best efforts of the US and its allies, China is in no hurry to re-engage.

    considers the implications of the complete collapse of defense diplomacy between the US and China.
  3. gomera6_wayraGetty Images_AIsustainability wayra/Getty Images

    How AI Can Even the Climate Playing Field

    Maxwell Gomera shows how artificial intelligence can strengthen low-income countries' hand in global negotiations.
  4. owhite8_cemagraphicsGetty Images_worldeconomy cemagraphics/Getty Images

    Strengthening the Global Balance Sheet

    Olivia White, et al. outline four medium-term scenarios for the world economy, each implying dramatically different outcomes.
  5. gorodnichenko6rtur WidakNurPhoto via Getty Images_russian culture Artur Widak/NurPhoto via Getty Images

    The Ukraine-Russia Culture War

    Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Ilona Sologoub survey the heated battles that have been playing out far from the physical battlefield.
  6. oneill120_NELSON ALMEIDAAFP via Getty Images_AImedicine Nelson Almeida/AFP via Getty Images

    The Poverty of AI Pessimism

    Jim O'Neill questions the increasingly popular sentiment that the technology will be economically destabilizing.
  7. leonard89_ATTA KENAREAFP via Getty Images_saudi iran china ATTA KENARE/AFP via Getty Images

    The Post-American Middle East

    Mark Leonard explains how the region became a laboratory for a future in which the US is not the sole hegemon.
  8. wagner19_EZEQUIEL BECERRAAFP via Getty Images_ev EZEQUIEL BECERRA/AFP via Getty Images

    How to Think About Climate-Tech Solutions

    Gernot Wagner

    To think that technology will save us from climate change is to invite riskier behavior, or moral hazard. Whether a climate solution creates new problems has little to do with the solution, and everything to do with us.

    offers lessons for navigating a field that is fraught with hype, unintended consequences, and other pitfalls.
  9. issing16_Andreas RentzGetty Images_christinelagarde Andreas Rentz/Getty Images

    Can the ECB Escape Its Own Trap?

    Otmar Issing examines the policy dilemma facing central banks as they try to shrink their bloated balance sheets.

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