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Peter Osterman

1 commentaries

Pseudonym of a senior European diplomat with long experience in China.

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  2. furman5_Getty Images Yuichiro Chino_forecasting Getty Images Yuichiro Chino

    Why Did Almost Nobody See Inflation Coming?

    Jason Furman

    Forecasting inflation is a staple of macroeconomic modeling, yet virtually all economists’ predictions for the United States in 2021 were way off the mark. This dismal performance reflected a collective failure to take economic models seriously enough, as well as other analytical shortcomings.

     ascribes near-universal forecasting errors in 2021 to not taking economic models seriously enough.
    8
  4. kschwab25_Marcos del MazoLightRocket via Getty Images_climateprotest Marcos del Mazo/LightRocket via Getty Images

    Envisioning Governance 4.0

    Klaus Schwab

    When the COVID-19 pandemic ends, the world will need a new governance model that differs from its predecessors in several fundamental respects. In particular, while finance, economics, and business remain vitally important, they must serve society and nature – not the other way around.

     argues that tackling today’s global challenges will require a transformation of institutions and leadership.
    3

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