
Better Learning Through Better Betting
May 11, 2016 & suggest using complex wagers with small precise questions to settle public debates.
Dan Gardner is is the co-author of Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction.
May 11, 2016 & suggest using complex wagers with small precise questions to settle public debates.
Nearly three months after Russia launched its invasion, Western countries appear more committed than ever to Ukraine’s defense, and, in some quarters, to Russia’s defeat. We asked PS commentators what outcome the West, Russia, and Ukrainians themselves can realistically expect.