warns that transatlantic monetary-policy divergence could lead to trade tensions, attributes Russia’s recent aggression largely to higher gas prices, and doubts that China’s regulatory crackdown will impede its economic progress.
Forecasting inflation is a staple of macroeconomic modeling, yet virtually all economists’ predictions for the United States in 2021 were way off the mark. This dismal performance reflected a collective failure to take economic models seriously enough, as well as other analytical shortcomings.
ascribes near-universal forecasting errors in 2021 to not taking economic models seriously enough.
When the COVID-19 pandemic ends, the world will need a new governance model that differs from its predecessors in several fundamental respects. In particular, while finance, economics, and business remain vitally important, they must serve society and nature – not the other way around.
argues that tackling today’s global challenges will require a transformation of institutions and leadership.
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