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A Year of Political Chicken

Between the assured re-election of Russia’s autocrat and populist threats on both sides of the Atlantic, there is plenty of reason to worry about the future of democracy in 2024. But the single biggest cause for concern is the US presidential election, which can best be understood with a classic proposition from game theory.

PRINCETON – The year 2023 ended on a sour, cheerless note, with looming elections in 2024 intensifying fears about the fate of democracy and the global order. In addition to the Russian presidential “election” in March, there will be European Parliament elections in June, the US presidential and congressional elections in November, and a general election in the United Kingdom sometime before January 2025. Between the assured re-election of Russia’s autocrat and the possibility of a populist wave on both sides of the Atlantic, there is plenty of reason to worry about the future of democracy.

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