J. Bradford DeLong, Professor of Economics at the University of California, Berkeley, is a research associate at the National Bureau of Economic Research and the author of Slouching Towards Utopia: An Economic History of the Twentieth Century (Basic Books, 2022). He was Deputy Assistant US Treasury Secretary during the Clinton Administration, where he was heavily involved in budget and trade negotiations. His role in designing the bailout of Mexico during the 1994 peso crisis placed him at the forefront of Latin America’s transformation into a region of open economies, and cemented his stature as a leading voice in economic-policy debates.
伯克利—美国有全世界4%的人口，却占了21%的COVID-19确认死亡；美国有全球北方25%的人口，却占了50%的疫情期间超额死亡率（超过正常水平的全因素死亡率）。
此外，美国的最新每百万人累计病例数几乎是欧盟的四倍（虽然后者本身似乎在经历第二波疫情）。美国每天仍有大约1000人因COVID-19而死亡，但欧盟每日死亡人数已接近300，全球北方的亚洲国家几乎已无人死亡。并且这不是整个北美洲的问题：加拿大每天只有大约十人因新冠病毒而死亡。
在这么多个月应对疫情无力之后，美国领先全球的死亡和感染率已不再令人惊奇。问题是当前疫情轨迹对于美国经济复苏意味着什么。
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