South Korean peace activists carry the Flag of Korean Peninsula Woohae Cho/Getty Images

从平昌到和平?

首尔—两年来,朝鲜半岛紧张局势不断升级,即将到来的韩国平昌冬奥会有望带来一些缓和,不管多么短暂,都令人期盼。但是,一些军事专家估计,如今开战概率仍大于五成,因此决不能因此自满。

多年来,朝鲜导弹发展日益加快,去年其成功试射了洲际弹道导弹,据说还成功试爆了氢弹。朝鲜核计划已经成为一个巨大的威胁,不仅对其邻国如此,对美国亦然。美国总统特朗普政府的反应——包括前所未有地在推特上叫嚣动武——则进一步升级了紧张趋势。

但在1月1日,朝鲜领导人金正恩要求改善和韩国的关系,随后,他同意参加奥运会。是什么让金正恩突然想韩国抛出了橄榄枝?

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