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Politics

Una brújula estratégica para Europa

Nov 12, 2021 Josep Borrell

BRUSELAS – Una brújula ayuda a encontrar el camino, y el "Compás Estratégico" que he redactado a instancias del Consejo Europeo será nuestra guía operativa para el desarrollo y la toma de decisiones de la Unión Europea en materia de seguridad y defensa. El documento, ya en manos de los ministros de Asuntos Exteriores y de Defensa de la UE, será discutido la próxima semana.

El Compás Estratégico está diseñado para responder a tres preguntas: ¿A qué retos y amenazas nos enfrentamos? ¿Cómo podemos agrupar mejor nuestros activos y gestionarlos eficazmente? ¿Y cuál es la mejor manera de proyectar la influencia de Europa como actor regional y global?

Nuestro análisis global de las amenazas muestra claramente que Europa está en peligro. La UE se arriesga a lo que he llamado un "encogimiento estratégico". Esto se percibe desde tres puntos de vista. En primer lugar, nuestro alcance económico está cada vez más circunscrito. Hace treinta años, la UE representaba una cuarta parte de la riqueza mundial; dentro de 20 años, representará poco más del 10%. Nuestra contracción demográfica se desarrolla de forma similar: a finales de este siglo, Europa representará menos del 5% de la población mundial.

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0 Comments on this paragraph, 5 Comments on this article

Adrian Haxhiaj Nov 14, 2021

EU should rethink to reevaluate its values and decide the price for Machiavelism. Further, it is time to push the strategy of one voice and unanimous decisions especially when it comes to international conflicts. Last, but not least, the EU should think twice when flirting with Russia and China and find a way to penalise its members who since years are waking up in the morning in the bed of those two "democracies"
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Henk Crop Nov 13, 2021

Good article. A Strategic Compass is what the EU badly needs. The EU has expanded extensively over the past decades. They want to become big is the only object they agree upon. But as an organization it is an ongoing fight between the members and Brussel. Brussel which has an insatiable lust to gain power over the members.
In the process there is little attention for developments outside the EU borders.

Major development is the exploding population growth outside the EU.
The world population is growing from 8 to 10 billion.
This is concentrated in Sub-Sahara Africa, Central - Southern Asia and Northern Afrika -
Western Asia. ( UN. World Population Prospects 2109 - Data Booklet)
In ca. 30 years the population in these areas will grow to 2,5 + 2,0 + 0,6 = 5,1 billion.
The EU will then have only 0,6 billion.
The economies in these area do not expand enough to provide enough prospects for their young people. This leads to wars and migration.
Afrika is the only Continent with a rapidly increasing number young people ( 226 million in 2015). ( www.unpopulation.org, no 2015 ).
The EU is completely unprepared to absorb migrants on a massive scale. The cost of one immigrant is ca. Euro 167.000.-
While Africa is 7 times the area of the EU, they keep coming to the EU.

The EU laws are completely inadequate to protect the EU from mass migration.
They cannot be changed because they are based on the EU values.
At the same time the EU has a birthrate of 1,33 child per woman. For a sustainable population you need 2,1. In Africa that goes up to 7.

It is good to write an EU compass. I hope some more articles will follow.
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