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أوروبا تحتاج إلى بوصلة استراتيجية

Nov 12, 2021 Josep Borrell

بروكسل ــ تساعد البوصلة المرء في إيجاد طريقه، وسوف تعمل "البوصلة الاستراتيجية" التي توليت صياغتها بناء على طلب من المجلس الأوروبي كدليل تشغيلي لتطوير الاتحاد الأوروبي واتخاذ القرار بشأن الأمن والدفاع. الآن، تتجه هذه الوثيقة إلى وزراء الخارجية والدفاع لمناقشتها الأسبوع المقبل.

البوصلة مصممة للإجابة على ثلاثة أسئلة: ما هي التحديات والتهديدات التي نواجهها؟ كيف يمكننا تجميع أصولنا وإدارتها بفعالية؟ وما هي أفضل طريقة لإبراز نفوذ أوروبا باعتبارها كيانا فاعلا على المستويين الإقليمي والعالمي؟

يُـظـهِـر تحليلنا الشامل للتهديدات بوضوح أن أوروبا في خطر. إذ يجازف الاتحاد الأوروبي بالتأثر بما أسميته "الانكماش الاستراتيجي". من الممكن تصور هذا الخطر وإدراك أبعاده من ثلاث وجهات نظر. فأولا، أصبح انتشارنا التجاري مقيدا عل نحو متزايد. قبل ثلاثين عاما، كان الاتحاد الأوروبي يمثل ربع ثروة العالم، وفي غضون عشرين عاما، سوف يمثل ما يزيد قليلا على 10%. ويتطور انكماشنا الديموغرافي على نحو مشابه: فبحلول نهاية هذا القرن، ستمثل أوروبا أقل من 5% من سكان العالم.

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Adrian Haxhiaj Nov 14, 2021

EU should rethink to reevaluate its values and decide the price for Machiavelism. Further, it is time to push the strategy of one voice and unanimous decisions especially when it comes to international conflicts. Last, but not least, the EU should think twice when flirting with Russia and China and find a way to penalise its members who since years are waking up in the morning in the bed of those two "democracies"
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Henk Crop Nov 13, 2021

Good article. A Strategic Compass is what the EU badly needs. The EU has expanded extensively over the past decades. They want to become big is the only object they agree upon. But as an organization it is an ongoing fight between the members and Brussel. Brussel which has an insatiable lust to gain power over the members.
In the process there is little attention for developments outside the EU borders.

Major development is the exploding population growth outside the EU.
The world population is growing from 8 to 10 billion.
This is concentrated in Sub-Sahara Africa, Central - Southern Asia and Northern Afrika -
Western Asia. ( UN. World Population Prospects 2109 - Data Booklet)
In ca. 30 years the population in these areas will grow to 2,5 + 2,0 + 0,6 = 5,1 billion.
The EU will then have only 0,6 billion.
The economies in these area do not expand enough to provide enough prospects for their young people. This leads to wars and migration.
Afrika is the only Continent with a rapidly increasing number young people ( 226 million in 2015). ( www.unpopulation.org, no 2015 ).
The EU is completely unprepared to absorb migrants on a massive scale. The cost of one immigrant is ca. Euro 167.000.-
While Africa is 7 times the area of the EU, they keep coming to the EU.

The EU laws are completely inadequate to protect the EU from mass migration.
They cannot be changed because they are based on the EU values.
At the same time the EU has a birthrate of 1,33 child per woman. For a sustainable population you need 2,1. In Africa that goes up to 7.

It is good to write an EU compass. I hope some more articles will follow.
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أوروبا تحتاج إلى بوصلة استراتيجية

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