埃博拉的下一条战线

新德里——除西非外哪些国家最容易传播埃博拉疫情?多数流行病学家并不担心发达国家,发达国家建立了有效的隔离措施及跟踪程序,他们也不太担心人烟稀少的发展中国家。疫情在上述两种国家都很容易得到控制。但地域广大、人口稠密的地区如果缺乏有效的遏制机制,就很容易感染埃博拉。

印度因其移民人口庞大(稳居世界第二)、城市人口密集和卫生保健基础设施不到位而在埃博拉病毒传播的情况下有可能损失最大。印度与西非在过去一个世纪联系紧密,有近50,000名印度籍或印度裔民众在西非工作生活。

事实上,途经中东或欧洲乘机来往于阿克拉、拉各斯、弗里敦、蒙罗维亚、阿比让和新德里、孟买、加尔各答、钦奈的人数每天高达数十人之多。虽然疫区所有国际机场都实行了出口管控,但病毒的潜伏期(本次疫情显示平均为8天左右,但最长可达21天)意味着近期感染但尚未显示任何症状的携带者可以在不为人知的情况下抵达印度。

To continue reading, please log in or enter your email address.

Registration is quick and easy and requires only your email address. If you already have an account with us, please log in. Or subscribe now for unlimited access.

required

Log in

http://prosyn.org/Je9gOfc/zh;
  1. Patrick Kovarik/Getty Images

    The Summit of Climate Hopes

    Presidents, prime ministers, and policymakers gather in Paris today for the One Planet Summit. But with no senior US representative attending, is the 2015 Paris climate agreement still viable?

  2. Trump greets his supporters The Washington Post/Getty Images

    Populist Plutocracy and the Future of America

    • In the first year of his presidency, Donald Trump has consistently sold out the blue-collar, socially conservative whites who brought him to power, while pursuing policies to enrich his fellow plutocrats. 

    • Sooner or later, Trump's core supporters will wake up to this fact, so it is worth asking how far he might go to keep them on his side.
  3. Agents are bidding on at the auction of Leonardo da Vinci's 'Salvator Mundi' Eduardo Munoz Alvarez/Getty Images

    The Man Who Didn’t Save the World

    A Saudi prince has been revealed to be the buyer of Leonardo da Vinci's "Salvator Mundi," for which he spent $450.3 million. Had he given the money to the poor, as the subject of the painting instructed another rich man, he could have restored eyesight to nine million people, or enabled 13 million families to grow 50% more food.

  4.  An inside view of the 'AknRobotics' Anadolu Agency/Getty Images

    Two Myths About Automation

    While many people believe that technological progress and job destruction are accelerating dramatically, there is no evidence of either trend. In reality, total factor productivity, the best summary measure of the pace of technical change, has been stagnating since 2005 in the US and across the advanced-country world.

  5. A student shows a combo pictures of three dictators, Austrian born Hitler, Castro and Stalin with Viktor Orban Attila Kisbenedek/Getty Images

    The Hungarian Government’s Failed Campaign of Lies

    The Hungarian government has released the results of its "national consultation" on what it calls the "Soros Plan" to flood the country with Muslim migrants and refugees. But no such plan exists, only a taxpayer-funded propaganda campaign to help a corrupt administration deflect attention from its failure to fulfill Hungarians’ aspirations.

  6. Project Syndicate

    DEBATE: Should the Eurozone Impose Fiscal Union?

    French President Emmanuel Macron wants European leaders to appoint a eurozone finance minister as a way to ensure the single currency's long-term viability. But would it work, and, more fundamentally, is it necessary?

  7. The Year Ahead 2018

    The world’s leading thinkers and policymakers examine what’s come apart in the past year, and anticipate what will define the year ahead.

    Order now