Michael Spence, a Nobel laureate in economics, is Professor of Economics at NYU’s Stern School of Business, Distinguished Visiting Fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution at Stanford University, Advisory Board Co-Chair of the Asia Global Institute in Hong Kong, and Chair of the World Economic Forum Global Agenda Council on New Growth Models. He was the chairman of the independent Commission on Growth and Development, an international body that from 2006-2010 analyzed opportunities for global economic growth, and is the author of The Next Convergence – The Future of Economic Growth in a Multispeed World.
米兰/北京—在美国即将向内转之际,中国经济表现对全球变得至关重要。未来几年,中国能否实现可持续增长将取决于诸多重要因素。
影响中国前景的主要外部因素之一是其与唐纳德·特朗普的美国的关系。理想的情况是两国政府合作协商双赢贸易和投资协定,对双方均面临的挑战保持敏锐。但相反的结果——双输贸易和投资纠纷升级——的可能性同样不小。
欧洲政治不确定性也在增加。其对中国的影响不如特朗普的行动直接,但也是对整个全球经济的重要中期风险源。
We hope you're enjoying Project Syndicate.
To continue reading, subscribe now.
Subscribe
Get unlimited access to PS premium content, including in-depth commentaries, book reviews, exclusive interviews, On Point, the Big Picture, the PS Archive, and our annual year-ahead magazine.
Already have an account or want to create one? Log in