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Trump’s Trade-War Miscalculation

The US seems convinced that it is up against a China with a particularly weak hand, owing to the risk of a hard landing for its economy. But while China imports relatively little from the US, it may have even more weapons than its opponent.

SHANGHAI – Just when a trade agreement between the United States and China appeared to be in sight, negotiators found themselves back at square one. The immediate reason for the disruption was China’s insistence on a substantially rewritten draft agreement, which, according to US President Donald Trump’s administration, reneges on previously agreed terms. But the root cause of China’s changes to the draft – the reason behind its reluctance to meet US demands – lies in a fundamental miscalculation by the Trump administration.

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