Comments 0 Add to Bookmarks chinese Chinese English French German Spanish Facebook Twitter Whatsapp 非传染病悖论 Jan 24, 2012 Martin Tobias 惠灵顿—艾尔伯特·爱因斯坦有一句名言：“越简单越好，但不要太简单。”但当下关于全球性爆发的非传染性疾病（NCD，即心脏病、中风、糖尿病、癌症等慢性病）显然没有把这句话当回事。决策者将这一挑战简单化了，他们专注于NCD越来越普遍的发生——即罹患疾病人数的陡峭增加，但我认为，真正的问题并不在这里。诚然，几乎在世界所有地区，都在经历NCD的普遍发生，这部分是因为随着急性传染病和伤害致命人数的下降，人们的寿命得到了增加，使得越来越多的人患上了NCD。但CND的增加同样也有人口和流行病因素在其中，弄清楚此中缘由将对卫生政策甚至经济发展都带来重大影响。世界上有很多地区同时发生着人口的增加和老化。大部分NCD的出现伴随着年龄的老化——这是一生中累积风险因素的结果（包括吸烟等不健康行为以及高血压等生物性风险因素）。在其他条件相同的情况下，人口的增加和老化意味着更多的人患上NCD。 To continue reading, please log in or enter your email address. Registration is quick and easy and requires only your email address. If you already have an account with us, please log in. Or subscribe now for unlimited access. Email required Receive our Sunday newsletter Log in Featured What’s Been Stopping the Left? Apr 10, 2018 Dani Rodrik Political Machismo Apr 10, 2018 Ian Buruma Will China Really Supplant US Economic Hegemony? Apr 2, 2018 Kenneth Rogoff Should Tech Companies Be More Tightly Regulated? Mar 30, 2018 Simon Johnson Liberal World Order, R.I.P. Mar 21, 2018 Richard N. Haass LinkedIn Google+ Bookmark Email Print 0 Facebook Twitter Whatsapp Show More Show More Contact Us http://prosyn.org/BPCPapX/zh;
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惠灵顿—艾尔伯特·爱因斯坦有一句名言：“越简单越好，但不要太简单。”但当下关于全球性爆发的非传染性疾病（NCD，即心脏病、中风、糖尿病、癌症等慢性病）显然没有把这句话当回事。决策者将这一挑战简单化了，他们专注于NCD越来越普遍的发生——即罹患疾病人数的陡峭增加，但我认为，真正的问题并不在这里。
诚然，几乎在世界所有地区，都在经历NCD的普遍发生，这部分是因为随着急性传染病和伤害致命人数的下降，人们的寿命得到了增加，使得越来越多的人患上了NCD。但CND的增加同样也有人口和流行病因素在其中，弄清楚此中缘由将对卫生政策甚至经济发展都带来重大影响。
世界上有很多地区同时发生着人口的增加和老化。大部分NCD的出现伴随着年龄的老化——这是一生中累积风险因素的结果（包括吸烟等不健康行为以及高血压等生物性风险因素）。在其他条件相同的情况下，人口的增加和老化意味着更多的人患上NCD。
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