伊朗何去何从?

柏林——

伊朗正在失去一个自从1979年革命以来,甚至可以说近百年来的的最大历史性机会。这个机会就是“巴拉克·奥巴马”。

正是奥巴马的政策给伊朗一个难得的机会——如果还能说是机会的话,前提是伊朗现任政府抓住这个机会,那可以说是一个很大的机会,但这个机会也可能带来很大的危险。伊朗当权者害怕的无非是两点:开放国门和美国缓和关系。实际上,伊朗欢迎乔治·W·布什的亲保守主义政府,因为这会使得伊朗政权更加团结,而且可以对伊拉克和阿富汗施加自身的影响。

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