中东问题上的谦虚

“一旦时机成熟,一切就都迎刃而解,”《里尔王》中的埃德加如是说。我把解读莎翁思想的重任留给学者,但对外交官和历史学家来说,理解“成熟”两字的含义对他们的工作至关重要:“成熟”指的是谈判或解决冲突的时机是否已经到来。

这乍听上去似乎太过学究气,但总有不过二字。美国和四方会谈的其余三个成员国——欧盟、俄国和联合国——正在计划召集各方参加11月在华盛顿附近举行的以巴冲突协调会议。

问题在于彻底解决以巴冲突的时机还远未到来。对这一事实视而不见如果不会带来灾难,也会导致会谈的失败。

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