以色列的伊朗问题核方案

洛杉矶——前任总统乔治·W·布什不久前出版的回忆录披露2007年春他曾拒绝了以色列摧毁叙利亚秘密核反应堆的要求。虽然这则消息似乎仅仅是历史的注脚,却深刻凸显了外交努力失败后以色列能否依赖美国采取军事行动阻止伊朗核计划的新的不确定结果。 叙利亚这则插曲表明以色列不能依赖美国,也就是说以色列可能再次决定单独行动,不过这次是摧毁伊朗核设施。

但如何以色列这么做,就不得不面对一道难题。 与袭击叙利亚核电厂不同,以色列常规部队不具备摧毁伊朗疑似核设施的能力。 伊朗核计划的组成部分其掩护、分散及隐蔽工作非常严密。 由此产生的问题是以色列“所有方案都摆在桌面上”的一再克制意味着甚至核打击的可能性也不能排除。 从以色列的核历史中找不到明确的答案,但未来可能必须迅速采取行动。

以色列从未承认掌握核武器,更不用说公布核武器的范围和规模。 以色列的决策者拒绝就此话题发表评论。 以色列议会克奈赛从未讨论过核计划或就拨款问题进行过审议。 军事监察员压制相关的公众舆论。

To continue reading, please log in or enter your email address.

Registration is quick and easy and requires only your email address. If you already have an account with us, please log in. Or subscribe now for unlimited access.

required

Log in

http://prosyn.org/pLsKZTV/zh;
  1. China corruption Isaac Lawrence/Getty Images

    The Next Battle in China’s War on Corruption

    • Chinese President Xi Jinping knows well the threat that corruption poses to the authority of the Communist Party of China and the state it controls. 
    • But moving beyond Xi's anti-corruption purge to build robust and lasting anti-graft institutions will not be easy, owing to enduring opportunities for bureaucratic capture.
  2. Italy unemployed demonstration SalvatoreEsposito/Barcroftimages / Barcroft Media via Getty Images

    Putting Europe’s Long-Term Unemployed Back to Work

    Across the European Union, millions of people who are willing and able to work have been unemployed for a year or longer, at great cost to social cohesion and political stability. If the EU is serious about stopping the rise of populism, it will need to do more to ensure that labor markets are working for everyone.

  3. Latin America market Federico Parra/Getty Images

    A Belt and Road for the Americas?

    In a time of global uncertainty, a vision of “made in the Americas” prosperity provides a unifying agenda for the continent. If implemented, the US could reassert its historical leadership among a group of countries that share its fundamental values, as well as an interest in inclusive economic growth and rising living standards.

  4. Startup office Mladlen Antonov/Getty Images

    How Best to Promote Research and Development

    Clearly, there is something appealing about a start-up-based innovation strategy: it feels democratic, accessible, and so California. But it is definitely not the only way to boost research and development, or even the main way, and it is certainly not the way most major innovations in the US came about during the twentieth century.

  5. Trump Trade speech Bill Pugliano/Getty Images .

    Preparing for the Trump Trade Wars

    In the first 11 months of his presidency, Donald Trump has failed to back up his words – or tweets – with action on a variety of fronts. But the rest of the world's governments, and particularly those in Asia and Europe, would be mistaken to assume that he won't follow through on his promised "America First" trade agenda.