中国的重商主义对穷国是祸是福?

卡布里奇——

今年,中国贸易又一次走向过度盈余,而美国经济复苏的前景却令人担忧。这些都预示着中国将面临着大幅升值货币的新压力。随着美国国会九月份人民币听证会的临近,如果中国不作为,美国各界就会对奥巴马施压,要求美国当局采取积极行动,这样一来,美中之间的冲突在所难免。

关于中国货币的焦点讨论在于如何减少中国的贸易顺差,以修正全球宏观经济的不平衡。许多分析人士希望通过人民币的升值,减少中国的出口,增长其进口。由此改善美国和其他国家的经济复苏。

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