Далекое отражение Европы?

Европейцам нравится проецировать свою историю на Азию и рассматривать текущие события как простое повторение, если не имитацию происходящего в Европе. Действительно, азиаты сами поощряют такое отношение, когда Ассоциация государств юго-восточной Азии (АСЕАН) открыто ставит своей целью все больше походить на Европейский Союз.

Стараясь расшифровать дипломатическое будущее Азии, европейцы сталкиваются, образно говоря, со слишком богатым выбором. Воспроизводятся ли в сегодняшней Азии европейские игры политического равновесия конца 19-го века, где Китай выступает в роли Германии? Или может Южная Азия однажды стать дальневосточным эквивалентом ЕС за счет роста АСЕАН?

Эти сравнения не являются нейтральными, и в проведении аналогии между сегодняшним Китаем и Германией 19-го века можно заметить элемент злорадства над чужими проблемами, которое немцы называют «Schadenfreude». Согласно этой точке зрения, Азия, возможно, и процветает в экономическом отношении сегодня, но это временное явление: подъем национализма, аппетит Китая к власти и стремление остальных стран Азии сдержать его амбиции непременно помешают дальнейшему экономическому росту и восстановят глобальное превосходство Запада.

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