Skyscraper in Shanghai, China Skyscraper in Shanghai/Pixabay

The Year Ahead 2016

输出中国模式

斯坦福—随着2016的到来,一场发展模式——即促进经济增长的战略的历史竞争已经上路。这场竞争的一边是中国,另一边是美国和其他西方国家。尽管这场竞争鲜为大众所知,但其结果将决定未来几十年欧亚大部的命运。

大部分西方人都看到,中国增长大幅放缓,从最近几十年的每年10%以上下降到现在的7%以下(也许还要低)。中国领导人并未坐以待毙,而是在试图加快从基于重型制造业的出口导向型、环境破坏型增长模式转向基于国内消费和服务的新模式的转变。

但中国的计划存在着一个规模极大的外部维度。2013年,中国国家主席习近平宣布启动一项规模巨大的工程——“一带一路”,这一工程将改变欧亚的经济核心。“一带”由从中国西部开始途经西亚、连接欧洲、中东和南亚的铁路组成。名字有些奇怪“一路”由一系列港口设施组成,以增加东亚海运量,将这些国家与“一带”联系起来,让它们能够实现商品的陆运,而不是像现在那样需要穿越两个大洋。

To continue reading, please enter your email or subscribe to On Point.

To access On Point, log in or register now now and read two On Point articles for free. For unlimited access to the unrivaled analysis of On Point, subscribe now.

required

Log in

http://prosyn.org/FH2h8vp/zh;
  1. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images

    How US Corporate-Tax Reform Will Boost Growth

    • In the United States, congressional Republicans are finalizing a tax-reform package that will reshape the business environment by lowering the corporate-tax rate and overhaul deductions. 

    • But will the tax package provide the boost to investment and growth that its backers promise?
  2. Eton boys with poor boys ullstein bild/Getty Images

    Inequality and the Coming Storm

    Global Bookmark: 

    • In recent decades, the wealth gap between a narrow upper class and the rest of the human population has become a gaping chasm, with far-reaching implications for most countries around the world. 

    • Rising inequality may be the greatest economic challenge of our time, but it’s not the first time human civilization has faced it.
  3. Adam Michnik Gallo Images/Getty Images

    Europe’s New Eastern Question

    interviews

    Insider Interview

    • With right-wing populists ascendant in Poland and Hungary, and gaining ground elsewhere in the European Union, politics in some parts of the West looks increasingly like politics in Russia.

    • Sławomir Sierakowski, Director of the Institute for Advanced Study in Warsaw interviews Adam Michnik, one of the intellectual architects of Solidarity and of the transition from communism in Central Europe, on Europe's illiberal turn.