Сегодня ЮКОС, завтра российская экономика

Как говорится, чем ближе знаешь, тем меньше почитаешь, и успех часто порождает самодовольство. К сожалению, именно это, кажется, происходит сегодня в России, где правительство избрало первый со времени падения коммунизма период продолжительного экономического роста, характеризующегося избытком государственного бюджета и началом притока капитала, для того, чтобы возобновить войны олигархов 1990-х годов.

Оптимисты, будьте осторожны: арест Михаила Ходорковского и замораживание его акций в нефтяном гиганте ЮКОС очень сильно повлияет на российскую экономику и на отношения между деловыми кругами и правительством и определит их развитие на много лет вперед. Ситуация вокруг ЮКОСа не приведет к резкой остановке российской экономики, поскольку одна компания не может определить судьбу государства. Однако нет сомнений в том, что долгосрочным перспективам России будет нанесен серьезный урон.

Проблема заключается в доверии между бизнес-сообществом и правительством, которое начало устанавливаться в последние годы. Скажем прямо, поколебав это хрупкое доверие, правительство нанесет смертельный удар экономическому подъему России.

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