China’s Fire Next Time

The Chinese economy has been stabilizing in recent months, easing fears of a financial crisis. But, with the economy's fundamental problems – particularly a sharp rise in corporate debt – remaining unresolved, the respite may be brief.

BEIJING – Earlier this year, rumors of China’s impending financial doom – triggered by either a housing-market crash or local-government debt defaults – were rampant. But, in recent months, the economy has stabilized, leaving few doubts about China’s ability to grow by more than 7% this year. Given that the Chinese government had ample scope for policy intervention, this turnaround should come as no surprise. But the moment of financial reckoning has merely been postponed, not averted.

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