欧元会取代美元的位置吗?

美国在世界金融中的霸主地位很大一部分来自于美元作为国际货币的地位。美国对自由的资本市场、法治以及价格稳定的承诺带给美元作为价值储备的可信度。 但是,美国人的消费习惯破坏了美元的声誉,而美元在世界市场上的过度供应又压抑了它的价格。今年春天,欧元与美元的汇率达到了历史新高,各国的中央银行也增加了欧元在其国际储备中的份额。美元是否要将世界金融的皇冠拱手让给欧元呢?

历史表明,尽管美元软弱,但是情况还是相反。

美国在二十一世纪的金融霸主地位和英国在一个世纪前的地位相似。在1914年8月第一次世界大战爆发之前,英镑正如当今的美元一样是国际交易的首选货币,全世界的借款者都造访伦敦时来筹集资本。

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