Kenneth Rogoff, Professor of Economics and Public Policy at Harvard University and recipient of the 2011 Deutsche Bank Prize in Financial Economics, was the chief economist of the International Monetary Fund from 2001 to 2003. He is co-author of This Time is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly (Princeton University Press, 2011) and author of The Curse of Cash (Princeton University Press, 2016).
坎布里奇—在经历了多年的蛰伏后,美国经济能够在未来几年中自己苏醒、东山再起吗?即将上任的共和党政府铁心要让已经接近充分就业的经济再通胀,并且其所承诺的贸易限制将推高进口竞争商品的价格,央行独立性也有可能承受压力,从这些方面看,通胀提高——时不时超过3%——几乎是必然之事。而产出增长也可能令人惊喜,有望到达4%,至少暂时可以达到。
你说,这不可能?未必。
经济似乎已经达到了3%的年增长率。即使是当选总统特朗普的经济政策的最坚定的反对者,也必须承认这些政策非常有利于企业(贸易是一个显著例外)。
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