Удерживаемые в Евроленде

ТОКИО. Иногда американцы (и некоторые жители Азии) называют еврозону “евролендом”. Учитывая созвучие с “Диснейлендом”, местом фантазий, это скорее насмешливое название, чем похвальное.

С тех самых времен, когда было предложено ввести евро, скептики (в основном, американцы) и оптимисты (в основном, европейцы) неистово обсуждали экономическую обусловленность введения единой валюты, ее полезность для членов еврозоны и ее политическую осуществимость. Азиатские экономисты, которые поддерживают региональную интеграцию в Азии, наблюдали за дебатами с изумлением, разнообразие мнений основывалось не на экономической философии типа “кейнсианцы против неоклассиков” или “либералы против консерваторов”, а на географическом, трансатлантическом разделении.

Американские экономисты, возглавляемые Мартином Фельдштейном, доказывали, что экономики еврозоны слишком разнообразны, с большими институциональными различиями и ограничениями на рынке труда, для того чтобы формировать оптимальную валютную зону. Более того, общая денежная политика в совокупности с независимой финансовой политикой обречена на провал: первая увеличивает безработицу в слабых экономиках, потому что процентная ставка отражает средние показатели по еврозоне (с большим перевесом Германии и Франции), но держит затраты по займам достаточно низкими, для того чтобы правительства стран могли финансировать бюджетную расточительность.

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