Paul Lachine

La pax pacífica de mañana

CANBERRA – Aunque la relación entre China y los Estados Unidos es esencial para el futuro de Asia, ello no significa que la región se convertirá en un duopolio sino-estadounidense. En Asia nunca se aceptará el concepto de “G-2”.

Para empezar, excepto China, el PIB combinado de Asia es más o menos equivalente al de los Estados Unidos, y excede en mucho el de China. Además, Japón sigue siendo la tercera economía más grande del mundo, mientras que economías como la India, Corea del Sur, Indonesia y Australia están creciendo rápidamente.

Bajo la dirección del presidente Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono, Indonesia está a punto de convertirse en una economía de 1 billón de dólares. Su población está llegando a los 250 millones de personas y el PIB anual del país se ha mantenido sistemáticamente por encima del 6%. A esta tasa de crecimiento es probable que Indonesia surja como una de las seis economías más importantes del mundo para 2030.

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