Jon Krause

De l’inconstance des fonds souverains

NEW YORK – Il y a encore deux ans, les fonds souverains étaient les épouvantails de la finance mondiale. Puis vint la crise financière globale, et les inquiétudes à leur sujet se sont évanouis. Maintenant que la crise est en recul, des inquiétudes se font à nouveau entendre quant à ces fonds souverains et à leurs agissements.

Les fonds souverains aiment à se présenter comme des instruments politiquement indépendants à vocation commerciale. Mais les deux dernières années ont démontré qu’en temps de crise, ils ne sont pas immunisés contre les pressions politiques les incitant à recentrer leur portefeuille sur les investissements nationaux. Cette tendance par temps de repli économique suggère que les fonds souverains ne sont pas les actionnaires stables et à long terme de sociétés étrangères qu’ils ont prétendu être (ainsi que l’avaient aussi prétendu certains observateurs).

Depuis l’année 2000 et jusqu’à la veille de la crise financière, la proportion d’investissements participatifs des fonds souverains sur les marchés étrangers était en hausse, atteignant même 90% au second trimestre 2008. Au second semestre de 2008, cependant, on a constaté un réel repli des fonds souverains vers les marchés nationaux. En effet, alors que la crise se propageait aux marchés émergeants qui accueillaient la plupart des fonds souverains, la proportion d’investissements étrangers dans le portefeuille des fonds souverains a chuté à 60%. 

To continue reading, please log in or enter your email address.

Registration is quick and easy and requires only your email address. If you already have an account with us, please log in. Or subscribe now for unlimited access.

required

Log in

http://prosyn.org/sAKj0o8/fr;
  1. Patrick Kovarik/Getty Images

    The Summit of Climate Hopes

    Presidents, prime ministers, and policymakers gather in Paris today for the One Planet Summit. But with no senior US representative attending, is the 2015 Paris climate agreement still viable?

  2. Trump greets his supporters The Washington Post/Getty Images

    Populist Plutocracy and the Future of America

    • In the first year of his presidency, Donald Trump has consistently sold out the blue-collar, socially conservative whites who brought him to power, while pursuing policies to enrich his fellow plutocrats. 

    • Sooner or later, Trump's core supporters will wake up to this fact, so it is worth asking how far he might go to keep them on his side.
  3. Agents are bidding on at the auction of Leonardo da Vinci's 'Salvator Mundi' Eduardo Munoz Alvarez/Getty Images

    The Man Who Didn’t Save the World

    A Saudi prince has been revealed to be the buyer of Leonardo da Vinci's "Salvator Mundi," for which he spent $450.3 million. Had he given the money to the poor, as the subject of the painting instructed another rich man, he could have restored eyesight to nine million people, or enabled 13 million families to grow 50% more food.

  4.  An inside view of the 'AknRobotics' Anadolu Agency/Getty Images

    Two Myths About Automation

    While many people believe that technological progress and job destruction are accelerating dramatically, there is no evidence of either trend. In reality, total factor productivity, the best summary measure of the pace of technical change, has been stagnating since 2005 in the US and across the advanced-country world.

  5. A student shows a combo pictures of three dictators, Austrian born Hitler, Castro and Stalin with Viktor Orban Attila Kisbenedek/Getty Images

    The Hungarian Government’s Failed Campaign of Lies

    The Hungarian government has released the results of its "national consultation" on what it calls the "Soros Plan" to flood the country with Muslim migrants and refugees. But no such plan exists, only a taxpayer-funded propaganda campaign to help a corrupt administration deflect attention from its failure to fulfill Hungarians’ aspirations.

  6. Project Syndicate

    DEBATE: Should the Eurozone Impose Fiscal Union?

    French President Emmanuel Macron wants European leaders to appoint a eurozone finance minister as a way to ensure the single currency's long-term viability. But would it work, and, more fundamentally, is it necessary?

  7. The Year Ahead 2018

    The world’s leading thinkers and policymakers examine what’s come apart in the past year, and anticipate what will define the year ahead.

    Order now