Год «китайской модели»

2008 год будет годом Китая. Олимпийские игры – без сомнения, организованные безупречно, без единого протестующего, бездомного, религиозного диссидента или любого другого объекта, который может испортить настроение – вероятно, укрепят престиж Китая в мире. В то время как американскую экономику продолжает затягивать болото огромных имущественных долгов, Китай будет продолжать расти. Новые восхитительные здания, сконструированные самыми знаменитыми архитекторами мира, сделают Пекин и Шанхай образцами современности двадцать первого века. Все больше китайцев будут фигурировать в ежегодных списках самых богатых людей мира, а китайские художники будут задавать такие высокие цены на международных аукционах по искусству, о которых другие могут только мечтать.

Преодолеть за одно поколение путь от нищеты и кровавой тирании сможет не каждый, и за это Китай заслуживает похвалы. Однако успехи Китая в тоже время представляют самое серьезное испытание для либеральной демократии с дней фашизма 1930-х годов.

Это не обусловлено большой военной угрозой со стороны Китая – войну с США или даже Японией могут представить себе только некоторые ультра националистические фантазеры и параноики. Именно представления о том, что китайская политико-экономическая модель, несмотря на ее экологические последствия, совершает одну победу за другой, и выглядят, как привлекательная альтернатива капитализму либеральных демократов.

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