Dean Rohrer

虚拟实力的现实

发自达沃斯——当阿拉伯国家政权在Twitter和半岛电视台推动的民众示威浪潮中苦苦挣扎,而美国外交官们则尝试理解维基解密网站的巨大威力之时,有一点是显而易见的,那就是在这个全球信息时代,我们需要更深刻地了解权力是如何在世界政治中运行的。

而这也是笔者在新书《权力的未来》中想要阐述的观点。21世纪正进行着两种关于权力的变革——一种是权力的转移,另一种则是权力的扩散。前者意味着权力从一个占统治地位的国家转移到另一个,这在历史上早已屡见不鲜了,而后者则是个更为新颖的过程。但当今所有国家所共同面对的问题,就是连最强大的国家都无法完全控制政治生活的方方面面。

在权力转移方面,人们将过多的精力浪费在了假想中的美国衰退上,并常常将其比作历史上的英国和罗马。须知罗马在到达权力巅峰后的三个世纪内还依然保持着统治地位,它也并非陷落于另一个国家的崛起之中,而是在无数野蛮部落的蚕食下走向了灭亡。

To continue reading, please log in or enter your email address.

Registration is quick and easy and requires only your email address. If you already have an account with us, please log in. Or subscribe now for unlimited access.

required

Log in

http://prosyn.org/89aY9mw/zh;
  1. China corruption Isaac Lawrence/Getty Images

    The Next Battle in China’s War on Corruption

    • Chinese President Xi Jinping knows well the threat that corruption poses to the authority of the Communist Party of China and the state it controls. 
    • But moving beyond Xi's anti-corruption purge to build robust and lasting anti-graft institutions will not be easy, owing to enduring opportunities for bureaucratic capture.
  2. Italy unemployed demonstration SalvatoreEsposito/Barcroftimages / Barcroft Media via Getty Images

    Putting Europe’s Long-Term Unemployed Back to Work

    Across the European Union, millions of people who are willing and able to work have been unemployed for a year or longer, at great cost to social cohesion and political stability. If the EU is serious about stopping the rise of populism, it will need to do more to ensure that labor markets are working for everyone.

  3. Latin America market Federico Parra/Getty Images

    A Belt and Road for the Americas?

    In a time of global uncertainty, a vision of “made in the Americas” prosperity provides a unifying agenda for the continent. If implemented, the US could reassert its historical leadership among a group of countries that share its fundamental values, as well as an interest in inclusive economic growth and rising living standards.

  4. Startup office Mladlen Antonov/Getty Images

    How Best to Promote Research and Development

    Clearly, there is something appealing about a start-up-based innovation strategy: it feels democratic, accessible, and so California. But it is definitely not the only way to boost research and development, or even the main way, and it is certainly not the way most major innovations in the US came about during the twentieth century.

  5. Trump Trade speech Bill Pugliano/Getty Images .

    Preparing for the Trump Trade Wars

    In the first 11 months of his presidency, Donald Trump has failed to back up his words – or tweets – with action on a variety of fronts. But the rest of the world's governments, and particularly those in Asia and Europe, would be mistaken to assume that he won't follow through on his promised "America First" trade agenda.