Joseph S. Nye, Jr.
considers how China undermines its own soft power, traces the potential causes of a war over Taiwan, welcomes Europe’s embrace of “smart” power, and more.
Around the world, people increasingly live with the sense that too much is happening, too fast. Chief among the sources of this growing angst are the rise of artificial intelligence, climate change, and Russia's war in Ukraine – each of which demands urgent attention from policymakers and political leaders.
calls attention to the growing challenges posed by AI, climate change, and the war in Ukraine.
波士顿—“过去的异端,现在被认为是正统了,”1944年凯恩斯在帮助说服世界领导人新成立的IMF应该将国际金融流监管视为成员国核心权利后评论说。但是,到了20世纪70年代,IMF和西方列强开始推翻这一理论,实践全球资本流监管。20世纪90年代,IMF甚至试图修改章程,开始指导起跨境金融去监管来。
IMF最近不无自满地采取了新的“制度性观点”,支持全球金融的重新监管。IMF的目标仍是终极金融自由化,但它现在也承认,资本的自由流动的理论基础要比自由贸易弱得多。
特别地,IMF承认,资本账户自由化要求国家在金融和治理制度方面达到一定的门槛,而许多新兴市场和发展中国家尚不能做到这一点。更为根本的是,IMF接受了跨境金融流利弊共存的观点,特别是大规模流入之后发生的突然断流,这会造成极大的经济动荡。
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