Barrie Maguire

权力的未来

发自剑桥——虽然一个统治全人类的全球政府已经不可能存在于21世纪,但不同程度的全球治理却正方兴未艾。目前在全世界范围内已经设立了数百种不同的条约,机构和制度来规管国与国之间的行为,其中涵盖电信、民航、海洋垃圾,贸易甚至是核武器的扩散。

但这类制度很少能独立行事,绝大部分依然要在超级大国的领导下运转。但本世纪的各个大国能否承担起这一责任,还是未知之数。

随着中国和印度实力的不断增强,他们的行为又会发生哪些变化?讽刺的是,对于那些预言美、中、印将在在21世纪中期实现三足鼎立的人来说,这三国——也是人口最多的三个——恰恰都是最为在意自身主权的国家。

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