与伊朗讲理

巴黎-针对伊朗核发展计划的谈判已经停顿了三年多。六年来,理智的声音基本上都被淹没了,而激情和妄想占了上风。

那些坐拥核武器的国家似乎认为他们能向伊朗下命令;那就是“照我说的做,而不是学我做。”另一个西方偏爱的妄想是,如果对伊朗的施压不断增加,伊朗将会屈服。而任何熟悉伊朗的人都知道,这样做只能引起伊朗藐视的回应。

但伊朗自己也存在着幻想,包括它认为能指望非西方国家的支持,或至少是某种伊斯兰集团国的支持。然而,在危机的每个阶段,被认为是伊朗的“朋友们”都让伊朗失望。伊朗还认为它可以让法国,也许还有德国,与美国一刀两断-好像这两个国家愿意为内贾德这样的领袖而激怒美国似的。

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