Markus Spiering/Flickr

幸存的天安门

香港—也许你很难想象,但在25年前,中国共产党险些被一场民主运动推翻。是已故最高领导人邓小平的钢铁意志和人民解放军的坦克——用于强制实施戒严令和镇压北京天安门广场示威——以数百位平民的生命为代价避免了政权的崩溃。

1989年月4日的天安门广场大屠杀即将迎来25周年,在此之际,有两个问题需要问问:中共在过去四分之一世纪中生存得如何?它还能维持下一个25年的统治吗?

第一个问题的答案相对明确。政策调整、明智的操纵策略以及相当好的运气让中共赢得了维持权力、镇压动摇因素所需要的支持。

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