Станет ли Сирия следующей костяшкой домино?

ЛОНДОН. С падением тунисского и египетского режимов, и по мере того как уличные протесты охватили города от Алжира до Тегерана, многие люди теперь задаются вопросом, какая костяшка домино будет следующей. Сирия ‑ светская, военизированная диктатура, которая наиболее похожа на павшие диктатуры Туниса и Египта – возможно, не стоит следующей в очереди, но, тем не менее, кажется, она приближается к переломному моменту.

Конечно, старая «теория домино» в международных отношениях была только грубым способом подчеркнуть то, что различные части региона связаны друг с другом. Для сегодняшнего арабского мира шахматная доска могла бы послужить лучшей метафорой – удаление даже пешки неизбежно меняет отношения между всеми другими частями.

Сегодня, по мере того как протесты нарастают и ширятся, правительство каждого арабского государства на Ближнем Востоке и в Северной Африке, наверное, считает, что, если пустить все на самотек, то это может привести к внутренним разногласиям.

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