Je Gordon Brown zvolitelný?

Gordon Brown chce očividně vystřídat Tonyho Blaira ve funkci britského premiéra. Méně očividné však je, že je ochoten učinit, co je nezbytné, aby dovedl Labouristickou stranu v příštích všeobecných volbách k vítězství. V jistém kritickém smyslu musí odmítnout Blairův odkaz, což přinejmenším znamená slíbit, že stáhne Británii z války v Iráku.

Brown po premiérském křesle touží již od 12. května 1994, tedy od onoho osudného dne, kdy tehdejší předák opozičních labouristů John Smith náhle podlehl infarktu. O dva týdny později, 31. května, se Blair s Brownem sešli v jedné malé restauraci v severním Londýně a debatovali o tom, kdo by měl vedení strany převzít. Na konci diskuse uzavřeli dvojí dohodu: Brown ustoupí a podpoří Blaira ve funkci příštího stranického vůdce; Blair se výměnou za to později vzdá vedení v jeho prospěch.

Klíčové, ale zákonité přitom je, že se nedohodli, kdy či za jakých okolností Blair svou část dohody naplní. Samozřejmě nemohli předvídat, že Blair v letech 1997, 2001 a 2005 vyhraje labouristům bezprecedentní troje po sobě jdoucí volby, a udrží tak Labouristickou stranu u moci rekordně dlouhou dobu, která nakonec může trvat až 13 let.

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