Vyplatí se dialog s Íránem a Sýrií?

Navzdory častým tvrzením o opaku fundamentálním problémem na Středním východě není intervence Západu. Právě naopak, skutečný problém tkví v tom, že západní mocnosti přes své snahy fušovat do řemesla nedokáží vést ani válku, ani dialog. To celý region ponechává na pospas represivním režimům a množícím se teroristům Středního východu.

Zastáncům irácké války chybělo k vedení účinné osvobozovací a demokratizační války porozumění pro spletitost situace v terénu. Jejich politiky proto skončily pouze tím, že odstranily dva hlavní regionální soky Íránu: Tálibán a režim Saddáma Husajna. To přineslo Íránu jedinečnou příležitost vyšvihnout se do pozice regionálního hegemona a íránští lídři si ji jen stěží nechají proklouznout mezi rukama.

Zastánci dialogu s Íránci a jejich syrskými spojenci, jako třeba bývalý ministr zahraničí Spojených států James Baker, se lopotí kvůli falešné představě, že by vážně mohli dosáhnout porozumění, které by umožnilo důstojný odchod USA z Iráku a napomohlo stabilizaci této zbědované země. Tato iluze se zakládá na dvou mylných předpokladech: že Íránci a Syřané mohou uspět v Iráku, kde USA selhaly, a že si mezinárodní společenství může dovolit zaplatit daň ve formě zajištění jejich spolupráce.

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