rostowski18_JOHN THYSAFPGetty Images_theresa may brexit

هل فشلت خطة بريكسيت؟

Dec 20, 2018 Jacek Rostowski

لندن- بدأت تفشل خطة رئيسة الوزراء البريطانية، تيريزا مي، لإخراج بلدها من الاتحاد الأوروبي بطريقة منظمة. ورغم أنها نجت من تصويت عدم الثقة، فمن المؤكد أن مجلس العموم البريطاني سيرفض، في يناير المقبل، اتفاق الانسحاب الذي ناقشته مع قادة الاتحاد الأوروبي. ومن أجل تفادي انسحاب عشوائي "بدون اتفاق" لبريطانيا، ستضطر حكومتها لطلب تمديد تاريخ خروج بلدها، أو سحب إعلان "نيتها بالمغادرة"، على الأقل بشكل مؤقت.

وفي كلتا الحالتين، ستكون الخطوة التالية هي تنظيم استفتاء للمرة الثانية، يضم خيارا يسمى الخروج من البريكسيت، الذي من شأنه أن يعكس قرار 2016 بالخروج. ولازال بإمكان المصوتين دعم اتفاق مي، واختيار اتفاق "على طريقة النرويج"، أو الخروج من الاتحاد الأوروبي دون اتفاق. لكن الانتخابات الأخيرة تظهر أن اختيار البقاء في الاتحاد الاوروبي هو من سيفوز الحصة الكبرى من الأصوات.

كيف وصلت دولة لها 400 عام من الحكامة الدستورية ومن ثقافة التسوية السياسية إلى هذا المستوى؟

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0 Comments on this paragraph, 4 Comments on this article

thomas greaves Dec 20, 2018

There will be no new referendum and no escape from the decisive referendum that instructed the government to leave the EU. Speculations in this article that suggest alternatives are utterly spurious.
- Robert Coleman Jan 1, 2019
  
  We'll just see about that....Just because you have an emotional aversion to potential resolutions of this un-thought-through existential mess, doesn't mean that any possible resolution is spurious.
  
  You may want Brexit, but indications are that a majority of us now, do not.
  
  Woe betide the government that takes us out of the EU in these circumstances. If it doesn't go extremely well for all concerned, there will be consequences.
  
  A second referendum would be one way to ensure that what is on offer now is what the people wanted. If they get what they didn't want, particularly if there are significant economic costs, they will be very angry.
  
  It is for these reasons that Brexiteers seem to be lying down like lambs these days. The lies are being exposed. Dr Fox is bleating only mildly and has reconciled himself to 'vassalage' or no Brexit at all, and Jacob has come around to seeing the good in Mrs May, whom he now supports, having been forced to re-sheath his knife. They are right that the backstop is crap, and that we will be more subject to European rules than we are now, but then, that is only the result of their incorrect calculations as to their own ability to undermine and blackmail the EU.
  
  The Brexiteers had their chance, but apparently suffer from a perennial performance issue and finished themselves off early, probably the very night of the referendum in hindsight, leaving everyone completely unsatisfied and utterly fed up, and wondering what we ever saw in them. It was all talk and braggadocio.
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- Alistair Newton Dec 21, 2018
  
  I completely agree.
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Paul Ross Dec 20, 2018

It is of little consolation that the simplistic thinking (or lack thereof) of nationalists represented by Brexit, is also running rampant across the pond.
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