Antara Haldar
advocates a radical rethink of development, explains what went right at the recent AI Safety Summit, highlights the economics discipline’s shortcomings, and more.
The prevailing narrative that frames Israel as a colonial power suppressing Palestinians’ struggle for statehood grossly oversimplifies a complicated conflict and inadvertently vindicates the region’s most oppressive regimes. Achieving a durable, lasting peace requires moving beyond such facile analogies.
rejects the facile moralism of those who view the ongoing war through the narrow lens of decolonization.
The far-right populist Geert Wilders’ election victory in the Netherlands reflects the same sentiment that powered Brexit and Donald Trump’s candidacy in 2016. But such outcomes could not happen without the cynicism displayed over the past few decades by traditional conservative parties.
shows what Geert Wilders has in common with other ultra-nationalist politicians, past and present.
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发自慕尼黑——随着经济复苏终于开始在欧洲占据上风,决策者的当务之急是确保增长可以持续到久远的将来。财政和货币刺激政策在危机高峰期可能是恰当之举,但却无助于应对欧洲大陆的长期发展前景的最大威胁:祸不单行的弱势人口结构和低投资额。
根据经合组织和欧盟委员会的计算,即使能实现移民的稳定流入,28个欧盟国家的总劳动人口仍会在未来15年中减少1200~1600万。新输入人口数量的更快速上升可以帮助改善这种情况;但更多的移民在根本上也不是对欧盟经济长期问题的适当解决方案。
实现欧洲可持续增长的唯一希望是推动生产力,并以此在不断萎缩的劳动力中获得更多的价值。但问题是欧洲大陆距离上一次生产率的显著提高已经很多年了。在西欧,劳动生产率(每工作小时的产出)的增长已经停滞了几十年。在1960年代,劳动生产率实现了强劲的年均4%增长,然后放缓至1980年代的2%并在世纪之交之际跌破1%。如今则以0.5%的速度匍匐前进。与此同时,包含技术创新在内的全要素生产率则一直停滞不前。
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