The World in 2024
While the US presidential election in November is almost certain to be this year’s most significant event, many other key countries will also be choosing new leaders this year. The outcomes, particularly in the United States, will have profound consequences for war and peace, climate action, and possibly the future of democracy.
NEW YORK – In my old job at the US State Department, colleagues often asked me what was likely to happen in this or that situation. Often, there was no way of knowing, and I reminded questioners that I was Director of Policy Planning, not of predicting. That said, prediction can be a useful intellectual exercise that serves us well in the coming year.