考验伊朗正逢其时

纽约—大部分关于如何处理伊朗发展核武器生产力的问题集中于两个选择。第一是依靠威慑并接受拥有小型核武库或组装核武器能力的伊朗,然后多加关注。第二是发动预防性军事打击,摧毁伊朗核计划的关键部分,将其迈向核武器的进程打回两三年前。

但如今,第三个选择也浮出了水面:谈判一个对伊朗政府来说太低,对美国、以色列和世界其他国家来说太高的核计划上限。

事实上,这一选择已经出现了好几年了,谈判也进行了好几轮。但是,变化的是环境。而环境的变化可能是关键性的;事实上,谈判桌之外所发生的形势几乎总能决定面对面谈判的结果。

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