Narendra Modi front facing shot_Narendra Modi_Wikimedia Commons

Economics

印度的安倍晋三

May 16, 2014 Brahma Chellaney

新德里—在经历了旷日持久的政治转变和瘫痪后，印度新政府将迎来以果断著称的领袖。正如日本首相安倍晋三在2012年的重掌大权反映了日本在经历了六年政治动荡后重塑竞争力和信心的决心，纳兰德拉·莫迪的选举胜利也反映了印度人对充满活力、自信果敢的领袖帮助印度的经济和安全重获动力的渴望。

与安倍一样，预计莫迪的重点将是重振印度经济财富，同时巩固其国防、强化其与观念相近国家的战略合作，从而促进地区稳定、阻止以中国为中心的亚洲的出现。莫迪魅力超凡——他是国内外商业领袖的宠儿——他承诺重塑告诉增长，表示投资者“只会受到热烈欢迎，不会面临繁文缛节。”

63岁的莫迪在软民族主义、市场经济和新亚洲主义等方面都与安倍一致，寻求与亚洲民主国家展开密切合作，创造严丝合缝的战略合作网。

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0 Comments on this paragraph, 5 Comments on this article

j. von Hettlingen May 18, 2014

Mr. Brahma Chellaney, is Narendra Modi "India's Shinzo Abe"? Only time can tell! It is true that voters in India and Japan longed for a strong leadership after years of economic stagnation and political paralysis. The two countries share quite a bit in common. Both India and Japan embrace similar democratic values and have had unresolved border issues with China. In light of the territorial disputes between China and various Asian nations, India and Japan join forces to promote "regional stability" and block "the rise of a Sino-centric Asia". Moreover the two are also members of the Group of Four (G4), a body pushing for reforming the UN. Each is backing the other's bid for a permanent seat on the UN Security Council.
Mr. Chellaney, it's unclear if Modi's "Abe’s soft nationalism" would be translated into "new Asianism" , in the absence of unity and shared identity across Asia. The continent is culturally and ethnically much diverse. Prosperity and growth have in recent years fueled nationalism.
Mr. Chellaney, if Modi still bears a grudge against the many governments, that treated him as a pariah, as a result of the 2002 riots in Gujarat, then he lacks statesmanship. Japan had not particularly "courted" Modi, when Shinzo Abe visted India in 2007. The then prime minister Manmohan Singh and Shinzo Abe wanted to improve their commercial relationship, since Tokyo imposed severe economic sanctions on Delhi following India's nuclear tests in 1998. As Japan saw growth potential in the Indian market, the two countries drew closer together. Japanese companies were excited by the opportunities there.
Modi visited Japan in 2007 and 2012 as chief-minister of Gujarat and was opening new avenues for Japanese investment in his business-friendly home state. He had the Delhi-Mumbai Industrial Corridor (DMIC) to thank for forging "a special relationship with Japan" and building a "personal rapport with Abe". Japan was the main foreign financial backer of the $90bn DMIC - a project that created industrial parks and special economic zones across Uttar Pradesh, Delhi, Haryana, Rajasthan, Gujarat, Maharashtra and Madhya Pradesh.
It' true that "Modi’s victory is likely to turn Indo-Japanese ties – Asia’s fastest-developing bilateral relationship". Japan is the largest foreign investor in improving India's poor infrastructure and Japanese firms have identified potential areas of investment around the corridor, which is the most populated and most industrialised regions in India. They are competing against each other, offering cheap skilled and unskilled labour.
Modi had made Gujarat an economic powerhouse. If he plans to revive India's economy, he will have to improve the country's infrastructure. His government will have to invest at least $300 bn in the next five years. This will no doubt require a lot of foreign investment. Japan, which has already spent more than $46bn may still be willing to help.
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Santosh Limaye May 17, 2014

"Spot on" analysis without kowtowing to sensational labels such as "Hindu Nationalist!"

It is not what Modi can do, but can the team he builds "deliver" the economic growth without corruption, and total and utter disregard for environmental issues (the limitation that can stem from non-technocratic OR insensitive team members focused solely on economic growth at any cost).

BJP/Modi government may well be advised to consider to take a page from the book "Team of Rivals."

Brilliant minds like Shashi Tharoor (Person of the Year of PETA) may want to reconsider their allegiances to Congress and contribute wholeheartedly to make India a vibrant, corruption free, environmentally sensible economic power that plays its appropriate role in the global citizenry without projecting and exercising religious fervor.
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hari naidu May 16, 2014

Like Jaswant Singh you have forgotten the strategic failure of India’s foreign policy to assert its national-interest and framework of policy under UPA coalition government. Dr. Singh/PM was never a foreign policy PM. While India was wasting its efforts on sundry national objectives of interest to US, mainland China was forging ahead with its strategic outlook towards Asian neighbors. And Obama’s just concluded state visit to Japan-S Korea-Malaysia and Philippines illustrates the declining influence of US foreign policy in Asia. Abe's Japan will not be a model for Modi/PM. American Exceptionalism is what constraints India-US relations as recent (NY) diplomatic spat illustrates. India is a sub-continental power and needs not to subjugate its national security interest in favor of any other country. Like mainland China, India must project its own independent framework of national strategic policy to near and abroad.

1. Given the existing anti-India lobby inside US Congress, it’d be ill advised to put India’s Government’s policy framework in context of what suits US and its Beltway Think-Tanks.

2. Modi is a known quantity (personality) to Chinese leadership, according to People’s Daily. In other words, mainland China seems to think Modi/PM will approach mainland China with specific projects - eg. Gujarat -to develop Indian infrastructure, energy, transport system, and potential trade free zones.

3. With respect to global terrorism, both China and India have good objective reason to find ways and means to cooperate across their Himalayan boarders.

4. Modi should release the Sino-Indian War (1962) Report and make a de jure settlement of the Himalayan boundary demarcation lines of control with mainland China based on principle of reciprocity and compromise by both sides.

5. Current bilateral trade is developing at a significant rate (in favour of China) and there is room to find a common trading currency to enforce its further development.

6. Putin may have (finally) awakened Beijing to find alternative strategy to its national security policy framework for peace and cooperation.

7. Panchila must be invoked to re-ignite Sino-Indian relation for growth and regional security and development.
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印度的安倍晋三

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