面对美国的增长挑战

伯克利—美国一直处在大萧条以来最深经济衰退之后的复苏中,但复苏的速度仍然低得令人沮丧。有理由表明2013年会出现一些好转,尽管与往常一样,下行风险依然存在。

欧洲衰退延续或爆发金融危机以及新兴市场增长放缓是主要的外部忧虑来源。在国内,政治斗争体现了两个最大的风险:无法达成提高债务上限的协议以及妨碍经济增长的新一轮财政紧缩。

自2010年以来,平均年GDP增长率只有2.1%,这意味着就业岗位创造不振。在此次和前两次复苏中,就业增长的反弹都比GDP弱,而且滞后于GDP。但最新衰退中的就业岗位减少量比前两次多两倍,因此缓慢的复苏意味着在长得多的时间里存在高得多的失业率。

To continue reading, please log in or enter your email address.

To access our archive, please log in or register now and read two articles from our archive every month for free. For unlimited access to our archive, as well as to the unrivaled analysis of PS On Point, subscribe now.

required

By proceeding, you agree to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy, which describes the personal data we collect and how we use it.

Log in

http://prosyn.org/boegby5/zh;

Cookies and Privacy

We use cookies to improve your experience on our website. To find out more, read our updated cookie policy and privacy policy.