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PS Commentators' Predictions for 2020

In many ways, the start of 2020 resembles the start of 2019: the global economy is slowing amid rising geopolitical uncertainty, and longer-term crises such as climate change and societal aging are going unaddressed. But 2020 could be the last chance for supporters of democracy and international cooperation to steer developments back in their favor.

Marcus Aurelius may have been correct that “it is not the weight of the future or the past that is pressing upon you, but ever that of the present alone.” Yet as we enter a new year, one cannot ignore the fact that the current moment is both freighted with recent history and pregnant with possibility. The political and economic disruptions of recent years have taught us that just as we can never be certain of what will come next, nor can we afford to face the future with passive resignation. We can be reasonably certain of some of the greatest risks to human welfare, which means we can mitigate them to build more resilience against those that cannot be eliminated.